Saturday, July 10, 2021

The Friendly Neighborhood Epidemiologist Answers Our Questions

 Trustworthy answers to almost every possible question

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๐“๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐Ž' ๐‚๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ (updated 1/24/2021)
๐‡๐ข ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ๐จ๐ง๐ž! ๐ˆ'๐ฏ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐œ๐ž๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ฅ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐š๐ ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ ๐š๐›๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ช๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐š๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐š๐ฅ๐ซ๐ž๐š๐๐ฒ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐š๐๐๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐. ๐ˆ ๐œ๐š๐ง'๐ญ ๐ ๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ - ๐ฌ๐จ, ๐ˆ'๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฆ๐š๐๐ž ๐š ๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐จ' ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ซ๐ž๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ ๐ญ๐จ. ๐๐ž๐ฅ๐จ๐ฐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ'๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐š ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ฆ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฌ, ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐ณ๐ž๐ ๐›๐ฒ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฆ๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ฌ. ๐’๐จ๐ฆ๐ž ๐ฆ๐ข๐ ๐ก๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐š๐ฉ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž ๐š๐œ๐ซ๐จ๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ฌ - ๐ฌ๐จ ๐›๐ซ๐จ๐ฐ๐ฌ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ ๐ก ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ฆ ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ข๐Ÿ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ'๐ซ๐ž ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐ค๐ข๐ง๐  ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ. ๐…๐ž๐ž๐ฅ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐ž๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฌ๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐จ๐ญ๐ก๐ž๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ˆ ๐ค๐ง๐จ๐ฐ ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ฎ๐ฌ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐š๐ฆ๐ž ๐ช๐ฎ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐œ๐ž๐ซ๐ง๐ฌ.
-๐…๐ซ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ง๐ž๐ข๐ ๐ก๐›๐จ๐ซ ๐ž๐ฉ๐ข๐๐ž๐ฆ๐ข๐จ๐ฅ๐จ๐ ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ
**See the 'About Me' section and my website for credentials and training.***

๐•๐€๐‚๐‚๐ˆ๐๐„๐’
1. Herd immunity and vaccines: Vaccines 101 - https://tinyurl.com/y27txvro
2. Vaccine distribution info and how well do the current vaccines work? - https://tinyurl.com/y2vte5lz
3. Whoa, these were made quick, right? How can we make sure they are safe?
4. When will I get the vaccine? Who decides who gets a vaccine first? And, a note on solidarity versus individualistic thinking. - https://tinyurl.com/y39cbptv
5. Myth-busters for vaccines (we talk about fertility questions, 5G/micro-chips, fetal cells, and why the mRNA won't change your DNA) - https://tinyurl.com/y2woz462
6. Explaining the FDA review and talking about the final Pfizer study results. https://tinyurl.com/y22jd32f
7. Should we be worried about the side-effects seen in the UK? - https://tinyurl.com/yxvb36y4
8. Let's talk about the FDA panel meeting- https://tinyurl.com/y6hzmcgt
9. Reflections on the EUA Pfizer FDA meeting - https://tinyurl.com/y4k2o6kc
10. Pfizer EUA approval, vaccine ingredients, and recommendations - https://tinyurl.com/yyvzeynx
11. Pfizer vaccine Q&A - https://tinyurl.com/y7e3jar8
12. Will I have to get a shot every two months? Should I worry about mutations? https://tinyurl.com/y83wd84k
13. Info on the Moderna vaccine and the FDA panel- https://tinyurl.com/y7x2hvn8
14. mRNA vaccines, pregnancy, and breastfeeding - https://tinyurl.com/y2z26ooo
15. Vaccines and the Black community - https://tinyurl.com/y2gd38fb
16. Vaccines and the new UK/SA variants - https://tinyurl.com/y3rvv4s8
17. Vaccine summary and comparison: Pfizer and Moderna: https://tinyurl.com/y44ahasr
18. Vaccine distribution pipeline: https://tinyurl.com/y6jppu8j
19. "I got the mRNA vaccine. Now what do I do?" - https://tinyurl.com/y3ucs43k
20. Johnson & Johnson preliminary data - https://tinyurl.com/y6mlcwcr
21. What is the vaccine finish line? https://tinyurl.com/yyj7rzws
23. Faith and vaccines - https://tinyurl.com/yb5ydlf2
24. This is why you need the 2nd dose of the vaccine and hints at long-term immunity - https://tinyurl.com/y6agcz33
๐–๐Ž๐Œ๐„๐ ๐ˆ๐ ๐’๐‚๐ˆ๐„๐๐‚๐„
3. Chat with the nerdy-girls at Dear Pandemic - https://tinyurl.com/y3ffc7d3
๐‹๐Ž๐•๐„ ๐˜๐Ž๐”๐‘ ๐๐„๐ˆ๐†๐‡๐๐Ž๐‘ ๐‚๐‡๐€๐‹๐‹๐„๐๐†๐„
1. Love Your Neighbor challenge - https://tinyurl.com/y967vxnc
2. COVID-19 and hunger - https://tinyurl.com/yc3yguj7
๐‚๐‡๐”๐‘๐‚๐‡
1. What if Christians led the way out of this? Redefining our freedom according to the Cross-https://tinyurl.com/y2qoow7t
2. How to navigate church in a pandemic based on data.https://tinyurl.com/y9gpyte2
3. Who is the neighbor? - https://tinyurl.com/y9ykykve
4. What about singing?- https://tinyurl.com/y9vcnhco
5. Other good articles. - https://tinyurl.com/yb4s3w6c
6. A guide for closing and re-opening based on data -https://tinyurl.com/y9gpyte2
7. A cautionary tale for churches - https://tinyurl.com/yxklylpo
8. We cannot draw water from an empty well https://tinyurl.com/yxc57ecm
9. Discussion with church leaders on leading during COVID-19 - https://tinyurl.com/y5zxfbz5
10. Faith over fear: Including a discussion on John MacArthur - https://tinyurl.com/yxsaatcf
11. Church is at risk of being a super-spreader - https://tinyurl.com/y6do6n7p
12. Masks are faith-filled and faith-ful. Faith-filled is about us. Faith-ful is about the neighbor. Both/And are important. The distinction matters. https://tinyurl.com/y2od5n6f
13. Recommendations for church in the midst of a surge - https://tinyurl.com/y6ez4ydx
14. Church video - Church and COVID: A Conversation with Dr. Emily Smith - https://tinyurl.com/y3gqefht
15. Daily cases and deaths, with and without precautions. With a note to churches - https://tinyurl.com/yxuyzlzx
16. Love Your Neighbor challenge - https://tinyurl.com/y967vxnc
17. To the shepherds - Reframing advent during the pandemic - https://tinyurl.com/y9e9y56c
18. In honor of MLK Jr - https://tinyurl.com/y2epyoek
19. The Capitol Riots and the thread - https://tinyurl.com/y6y3oxr7
20. 2021 guidance for churches - https://tinyurl.com/y5zgmod2
21. Faith and vaccines - https://tinyurl.com/yb5ydlf2
22. Let's make room - my reflections on Advent - https://tinyurl.com/ydgx77tg
๐๐€๐•๐ˆ๐†๐€๐“๐ˆ๐๐† ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐’๐”๐‘๐†๐„ ๐’๐„๐‘๐ˆ๐„๐’ (see also the mental health section below)
1. Having a self-care toolbox - https://tinyurl.com/y55fva8e
2. How to deal with pandemic fatigue and burn-out - https://tinyurl.com/y2lnmurr
3. Hanging onto hope - https://tinyurl.com/yyprhsh5
4. Tighten your “bubble” - https://tinyurl.com/y4aqlwqy
๐Œ๐˜๐“๐‡-๐๐”๐’๐“๐„๐‘๐’
1. Be careful about the false narrative – 8 myths debunked include 99% recover, hospitalizations are going down, test numbers are being inflated, this took us by surprise.
2. Is COVID-19 like the flu? (2nd link explains how to read the CDC data correctly)
3. 99% “recover”
4. Will herd immunity work?
5. COVID-19 is not the flu, cases are not inflated, 30 million did not have this in January
6. Debunking Plandemic - https://tinyurl.com/y32rxdt6
7. What about hot weather? - https://tinyurl.com/y2rrhao5
8. What about that viral video from CA? - https://tinyurl.com/y62toay8
9. Did the CDC say 6% of deaths were from COVID? Is it true that all deaths are counted as COVID-19? - https://tinyurl.com/yxblsl3k
10. It's not just about dying from COVID-19. Let's talk about long-haulers. - https://tinyurl.com/y2nomqkj
11. What about the CDC testing guideline changes? - https://tinyurl.com/yy9wuguz
12. Are there more people dying this year than normal? And, is it because of COVID-19? - https://tinyurl.com/y4ukcfcb
13. What about the CDC interference allegations? - https://tinyurl.com/yyla8wt3
14. Can COVID-19 travel through the air and why that matters? (including the CDC guideline changes) -
15. Did the CDC MMWR say masks don't work?
16. Myth-busters for vaccines (we talk about fertility questions, 5G/micro-chips, fetal cells, and why the mRNA won't change your DNA)
16. Healthcare workers are paying the price for the false reality - https://tinyurl.com/y5562u8x
17. Don’t believe the false narrative that things couldn’t have looked different - https://tinyurl.com/y3fdlexm
19. Absolute versus relative risk reduction - https://tinyurl.com/y4uju3sz
20. Wait, does asymptomatic spread not occur? - https://tinyurl.com/y37vjybs
๐Œ๐„๐๐“๐€๐‹ ๐‡๐„๐€๐‹๐“๐‡
1. Suicide and COVID-19 - https://tinyurl.com/y4zv32ht
2. The toll of COVID-19 and mental health – including resources - https://tinyurl.com/y2jsfbdw
3. It’s ok to cry and hope - https://tinyurl.com/yyrqootl
4. Healthcare workers are paying the price for the false reality - https://tinyurl.com/y5562u8x
6. Holding onto hope - https://tinyurl.com/y3ec5fu9
7. Living in the uncertainty - https://tinyurl.com/y6alzbmx
8. COVID-19 and hunger - https://tinyurl.com/yc3yguj7
๐‡๐Ž๐‹๐ˆ๐ƒ๐€๐˜๐’
1. What about Halloween and holidays? They aren't cancelled - https://tinyurl.com/y6cqqn83
2. What about Christmas and New Years? https://tinyurl.com/y2dyt2w9
3. Thanksgiving – It’s ok to cry and hope https://tinyurl.com/yyrqootl
4. Holiday planning - https://tinyurl.com/yydkq6qs
5. More on holiday planning: A cautionary tale - https://tinyurl.com/y2jvpp7b
6. How to assess your risk in traveling - https://tinyurl.com/y6xpyzqc
7. Merry Christmas and happy holidays! - https://tinyurl.com/y3zyfkzp
8. Explaining the pandemic to kids - https://tinyurl.com/y4njrxfc
๐€๐’๐’๐„๐’๐’๐ˆ๐๐† ๐˜๐Ž๐”๐‘ ๐Ž๐–๐ ๐‘๐ˆ๐’๐Š ๐ˆ๐ ๐„๐•๐„๐‘๐˜๐ƒ๐€๐˜ ๐€๐‚๐“๐ˆ๐•๐ˆ๐“๐ˆ๐„๐’
1. The BEST guide
2. The OK guide
3. A case study from a family get-together
4. Let's talk about being in an enclosed room https://tinyurl.com/yxa7ftbw
5. COVID-19, football, and athlete risks - https://tinyurl.com/y3at2hcv
6. COVID-19 and going to the doctor for routine visits - https://tinyurl.com/y6do6n7p
7. How schools, churches, and workplaces can re-open safely
8. Why it’s risky to be indoors - https://tinyurl.com/y3r8mj63
9. Asymptomatic spread is important to pay attention to - https://tinyurl.com/yysonr9k
10. We hit 300,000 daily cases - https://tinyurl.com/yykpfxsb
11. How can I be safe at work, school, church? https://tinyurl.com/y247bp9a
๐„๐—๐๐‹๐€๐ˆ๐๐ˆ๐๐† ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐๐€๐๐ƒ๐„๐Œ๐ˆ๐‚
1. What does exponential spread mean?
2. So, what’s next? Looking at positivity rates in your state https://tinyurl.com/y9gpyte2
3. Re-openings and COVID-19
4. The Hurricane: Hospital capacity surges and COVID-19 https://tinyurl.com/y6naulqs
5. This is what a hospital surge looks like
6. The point of no-return: A guide for pro-active measures https://tinyurl.com/yyc8yncn
7. Look at how quickly things escalate
8. There’s nothing magical about getting over a peak
9. What does it mean to be a "close contact"? https://tinyurl.com/y26nuedg
๐„๐—๐๐‹๐€๐ˆ๐๐ˆ๐๐† ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐๐”๐Œ๐๐„๐‘๐’
1. What is the positivity rate and how does it relate to hospitalizations?
2. Positivity rates, active cases, people being monitored, hospital capacity
3. Example from Florida: Includes break-down of cases from community spread versus nursing home, prisons, agriculture workers and positivity rates
4. Don’t be a velociraptor – Be cautious about social media https://tinyurl.com/y2l9b8l8
5. Who is an expert and how to assess a study’s validity
6. When are people contagious?
7. Why is this virus a big deal and what is R(t)?
8. COVID's toll is not equal. https://tinyurl.com/y48mbg47
9. How the pandemic defeated America https://tinyurl.com/yxz5agl2
10. We are number 3 for deaths- https://tinyurl.com/y3hh9tch
11. Where are the US hotspots? - https://tinyurl.com/yxj4pl8r
12. Why we need to pay attention to new cases, not just hospitalizations - https://tinyurl.com/yy68bsg2
13. Why experts are warning of a bad winter - https://tinyurl.com/y4kv9q59
14. COVID-19 and the flu: Twindemic - https://tinyurl.com/y2t7adrg
15. My town has a morgue truck - https://tinyurl.com/y6fawgkl
16. We need a huge dose of reality - https://tinyurl.com/y6shtbaj
17. Cases, hospitals, and deaths – understanding the lag times - https://tinyurl.com/yy3md89x
18. The third surge is not like the others - https://tinyurl.com/y3tyfr2b
19. How to interpret a reduction in cases - https://tinyurl.com/yywaasjx
๐Œ๐€๐’๐Š๐’ ๐€๐๐ƒ ๐๐‡๐˜๐’๐ˆ๐‚๐€๐‹ ๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐“๐€๐๐‚๐ˆ๐๐†
1. Masks work: The strongest evidence we have
2. Mask 101: Why they work, exposure time, how to wear and disinfect your mask correctly
3. Myth-busters for mask: A LONG post debunking common myths about masks (masks work realy well, clearing up what the surgeon general/WHO said, CO2 fears) https://tinyurl.com/y642sefb
4. Did the Surgeon General or WHO say not to wear masks?
5. Sheltering in place works
6. Let's talk masks, face shields, and gaiters: Why you need to pull your masks over your nose - https://tinyurl.com/y5rfqhqk
7. Why state-wide mask mandates work! - https://tinyurl.com/yxu6gl4r
8. A reminder of when someone is contagious and the importance of masks (and a note on bipartisan science) - https://tinyurl.com/y4rfjmc5
9. Does wearing a mask protect me even if others around me aren't wearing one? https://tinyurl.com/yxj8lvdc
10. An example of when masks worked and didn’t- https://tinyurl.com/y2jvpp7b
11. Do masks protect you if others don’t wear one? - https://tinyurl.com/yxj8lvdc
12. "๐ˆ ๐š๐ฅ๐ฐ๐š๐ฒ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ž ๐š ๐ฆ๐š๐ฌ๐ค ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐ ๐จ๐ญ ๐‚๐Ž๐•๐ˆ๐ƒ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—. ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ž๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž." https://tinyurl.com/yyqzes58
๐„๐‚๐Ž๐๐Ž๐Œ๐˜
1. Pro-health means pro-economy: We can keep businesses open and people safe https://tinyurl.com/yy48tzaa
2. It’s not jobs versus lives. One of my FAVORITE articles.- https://tinyurl.com/y42mqcug
3. Re-opening cautiously- https://tinyurl.com/y2jjvw9w
๐“๐‡๐„ ๐†๐‘๐„๐€๐“ ๐๐€๐‘๐‘๐ˆ๐๐†๐“๐Ž๐ ๐ƒ๐„๐๐€๐“๐„ ๐€๐๐ƒ ๐“๐‡๐„ ๐‰๐Ž๐‡๐ ๐’๐๐Ž๐– ๐Œ๐„๐Œ๐Ž๐‘๐€๐๐ƒ๐”๐Œ:
3. John Snow Memorandum Part 1 - https://tinyurl.com/y5r9wxzd
4. John Snow Memorandum Part 2 - https://tinyurl.com/y4ckxr9w
๐’๐‚๐‡๐Ž๐Ž๐‹๐’
1. Can we open schools safely? What mitigation strategies work? https://tinyurl.com/yxa4g62a
2. Schools reopening. What do the case projections look like in your state with and without preventative measures? https://tinyurl.com/y7e4x8no
3. School re-openings in other countries – Case studies https://tinyurl.com/yamyqbkm
4. Keeping teachers/staff safe – includes recommendations on clear masks (see comments too) and face shields
5. How can schools and workplaces re-open safely?
6. Dear college students... https://tinyurl.com/y64r8pu4
7. Is it safe for our kids to go to school? https://tinyurl.com/y5e3vngs
๐๐‘๐Ž๐“๐„๐’๐“๐’, ๐‘๐€๐‹๐‹๐ˆ๐„๐’, ๐’๐”๐๐„๐‘-๐’๐‘๐„๐€๐ƒ๐„๐‘๐’, ๐€๐๐ƒ ๐‚๐Ž๐•๐ˆ๐ƒ-๐Ÿ๐Ÿ—
1. Be careful about misinformation regarding protests
2. Keeping yourself safe during protests
3. Race equity and COVID-19
4. Comparing protests, Trump rallies, and the Sturgis Rally -
๐•๐Ž๐“๐ˆ๐๐†
1. Voting safety during COVID-19 -
๐•๐€๐‚๐‚๐ˆ๐๐„๐’
1. AstraZeneca study interruptions - https://tinyurl.com/y6xofuuv
๐“๐„๐’๐“๐ˆ๐๐†
1. Explaining the difference between diagnostic and antibody tests
๐๐Ž๐ƒ๐‚๐€๐’๐“๐’
1. Shane Blackshear – Seminary Dropout (Missio Alliance)
2. Ashton Gustafson – Good, True, and Beautiful
3. Christianity and Mental Health CXMH - COVID-19 and mental health
4. Baylor connections - https://tinyurl.com/y29smntj
5. Culture Matters with the Village Church - https://tinyurl.com/yyu94ann

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